Blog

  • Gold down to its lowest level in three months with the stability of the dollar near highs

    Gold down to its lowest level in three months with the stability of the dollar near highs

    Gold prices Record lowest level in three months on Wednesday, with the stability of the dollar index near its highest level in more than a year with support from expectations that the Federal Reserve might be heading towards the reference to an early date to raise interest rates.

    The inn Spot gold to the weakest level since early June, when 1,246,79 dollars an ounce, and by the time 13:23 GMT amounted to $ 1,248,74, down 0.5%. And increased futures American Gold for December delivery $ 1.20 to 1,249,70 dollars to remain close to the lowest level in the session to $ 1,246,40.

    The price of gold has risen in the first half of the year after losing 28% in 2013, but the weakness in the current quarter trimmed those gains since the end of December to only 4%.

    And exhibits the dollar rallied since early July, thanks to talk about a possible increase in American interest rates. This is likely to hurt the precious metal in the light of its impact on the dollar, which is priced in it, and also because it would increase the cost of owning the underlying metal, which does not generate interest.

    He received the precious metal on the support of tensions between Russia and the West over Ukraine, but the labels on the conflict might be restless obtained from this support.

  • Funds Continue To Exit Bullish Gold, Silver Positions In Latest CFTC Data

    Funds Continue To Exit Bullish Gold, Silver Positions In Latest CFTC Data

    (Kitco News) – Large speculators again cut their net-long gold and silver futures and options holdings on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange in the latest Commodity Futures Trading Commission data for the week ended Sept. 2, following the same action seen in the previous week’s report.

    These traders’ activity in platinum group metals and copper was mixed between the legacy and the disaggregated reports, with non-commercial traders returning to a net-short position in copper’s legacy data.

    Metals prices fell during the time period covered by the latest CFTC report. Comex December gold fell $20.20 to $1,265 an ounce. December silver slid 30.7 cents to $19.152. October platinum dropped $10.70 to $1,408.90 an ounce. December palladium fell $6.90 to $883.25. Comex December copper slid 5.75 cents to $3.1550 a pound.

    Managed-money traders narrowed their gold net-long position for the third straight week in this report, with their holdings now standing at 74,031, which remains the smallest since June 17. These traders cut 2,533 longs and added 16,171 gross shorts. Producers’ and swap dealers’ net-short positions fell as they both added gross longs and cut gross short positions.

    The non-commercial traders in the gold legacy report took the same strategy as seen in the disaggregated report. They cut 2,908 gross long contracts and added 16,900 gross shorts. They are now net-long 105,824 contracts, also the smallest since June 17. Commercials are net-short and trimmed that position by cutting gross shorts and adding gross longs.

    The move to cut gross longs and add gross shorts is considered bearish, analysts said.

    Alexander Thorndike, senior precious metals and foreign exchange dealer at MKS (Switzerland) SA, said open interest in the Comex futures and options is close its lowest in five years, which reflects how “gains in the U.S. economy, dollar and equities curb investor demand.” In this week’s CFTC data, he noted the net-long position in gold declined 20%, and short holdings betting on a drop increased 44% during the same period.

    Bart Melek, head of commodity strategy at TD Securities, said gold speculative traders aggressively cut net-long positions based on favorable U.S. economic data and reduced exchange-traded fun participation. “Investors also positioned towards the short side as they feared a technical breakdown amid a weak precious metals sentiment,” he said.

    UBS analysts said looking at the legacy report, the build in gross shorts was the second-biggest weekly increase for 2014. The biggest was in late May, and they noted “this laid the foundation for gold’s rally in late June/early July. Gross shorts, as of the Sept. 2 count, now amount to a weighty 11.2 moz (million ounces), just 2 moz shy of the YTD (year-to-date) high. Gold’s opportunity up ahead is the strong potential for a short-covering rally. Gold’s two sizeable rallies this year, in March and July, originated from short covering – this is gold’s strongest lifeline right now,” they said.

    Managed-money accounts in silver trimmed their net-long positions and the current report is now the seventh consecutive week they have cut their net-long position. They are net long 6,264 contracts, having added 189 gross longs and 7,643 gross shorts; the net-long remains the smallest since June 17. Producers decreased their net-short positions by cutting more gross shorts than gross longs. Swap dealers also reduced their net-short position by cutting gross shorts and adding gross longs.

    In the legacy report, non-commercials added 3,020 gross longs and 7,394 gross shorts, dropping their net-long position to 19,035 contracts. This is also the smallest since June 17. Commercials are net-short and decreased that position by cutting more gross shorts than gross longs.

    UBS said speculators’ short silver position is up by 50.5% in the past three weeks, and at 270.5 million ounces, it is at 81.8% of the all-time high from early June. “Like gold, the potential for a short-covering rally is quite high,” they said.

    Managed-money accounts in platinum decreased their net-long position to 27,793 contracts by cutting 1,806 gross longs and adding 3,291 gross shorts. Non-commercials in platinum lowered their net-long position to 39,467 contracts in the legacy report, and did so by cutting 733 gross longs and added 3,946 gross shorts.

    Large speculators’ net-long palladium holdings rose in the disaggregated report to 23,226 contracts, the highest since Nov. 19, as they added 1,138 gross longs and cut 251 gross shorts. The palladium legacy report saw non-commercials add 801 gross longs and cut 278 gross shorts, raising their net-long to 26,924 contracts, the highest since mid-November 2013.

    Koun-Ken Lee, analyst at Standard Chartered, said the speculators’ split between the two platinum group metals highlights “platinum’s exposure to Europe and palladium’s exposure to Russia.”

    Managed-money accounts boosted their net-long copper position to 17,411 contracts, arresting five weeks of position trims. They added 3,561 gross longs and cut 5,193 gross shorts. Large speculators returned to being slightly net-long copper, following two weeks of being net-short. They are now net-long 34 contracts in copper’s legacy report. These traders added 2,359 gross longs and cut 3,914 gross shorts.

    Lee said copper found support from above-consensus U.S. housing data.

  • Market at record highs: Does it make gold a bad investment bet?

    Market at record highs: Does it make gold a bad investment bet?

    Gold is generally seen as a safe haven bet by investors during the times of crisis or when uncertainty surrounds the equity markets. However, equity markets around the world are making new highs driven by strong global economic data as well as strength of dollar against other currencies.

    Gold has a strong negative correlation with equity markets (refer chart).

    Gold is also seen as good investment when there are geopolitical tensions in some parts of the world. Gold futures hit the levels of 29000 when the Iraq and Ukraine tensions were at their peak.

    But those problems are also easing out slowly, making investors move away from gold as an investment asset.

    Thus, with the easing of geopolitical tensions and strong global equity markets, Investors’ primary focus is on equities, and gold is losing its sheen as an investment class.

    Gold futures’ prices have dipped nearly 2000 points in the past one month, making it the worst month for gold since May. The Nifty has crossed 8000 for the first time and it is scaling new highs every day and other equities are also benefiting from this as lots of new Investors are entering the market every day.

    So, investors should definitely be decreasing their holding of gold and increasing the equity content in their portfolio.

    Investors should, however, not decrease their entire gold content as gold provides a very good hedge for equities and could provide support when something goes wrong in the equity markets at a global level.

    Strong economic data around the world has been driving the equity markets. The US Fed has indicated that there could be quantitative easing in the near future, which could put a lot of pressure on gold prices.

    The Fed may also hike interest rates early next year, which could shift the focus of investors away from gold and towards other asset classes like bonds. European Union has also been facing disinflation and could take steps to stimulate the economy which could again drive gold prices down.

    Thus, fundamentals are looking very weak for gold and its value is expected to fall in the coming year. However, retail buying could provide support for gold prices at lower levels and could prevent a steep fall in gold prices. Gold futures are expected to trade in the range of Rs 25000-25500 over the next 6 months to 1 year.

    source: indiatimes

  • Gold adorned Indian brides unlikely to lift bullion price

    Gold adorned Indian brides unlikely to lift bullion price

    Investors hoping the Indian wedding season will deliver a boost to the languishing gold price are likely to be disappointed, analysts say.

    Traditionally gold has rallied in September as the world’s second-largest gold buyer India stocked up on the yellow metal ahead of the Indian wedding season around Diwali.

    In the last quarter alone India bought 204 tonnes of gold, coming in at a close second to the combined purchase from China, Hong Kong and Taiwan at 208 tonnes, according to the latest report from the World Gold Council. The report found more than a quarter of the Indian demand for gold came in the form of jewellery.

    Despite the physical demand out of India, the gold market was likely to remain on the bearish side due to the slow demand from China, ANZ analysts Victor Thianpiriya and Mark Pervan said.

    Spot gold has declined more than 5 per cent since July, and was fetching $1268.92 this morning.

    “As demand from China remains lacklustre, a further move lower in prices will be required to stoke interest from the key consumer,” ANZ analysts said in a note.

    ANZ forecast the gold price to plunge further to $US1180 by the 2014 year end and rebound slowly to $US1250 in 2015.

    UBS commodity analyst Daniel Morgan said the gold price was likely to remain on the downside given the strength of the US economy, which has a bearish impact on the commodity price.

    But some investors remained hopeful for the future of the commodity.

    A combination of factors including rising inflation in the US, increased geopolitical risks and the beginning of the festive season in India were likely to drive the gold price up, Investec Asset Management said.

    Gold trader ABC Bullion chief economist Jordan Eliseo was also more bullish for the precious metal, forecasting the price to rebound to $US1300 by December 2014.

    “You look at a picture of any Indian bride and you will tend to find them adorned with gold and other precious metals. It’s important to point out Indian citizens are used to saving in gold regularly around the wedding season, so there is traditionally a pick up in gold demand around religious and cultural festivals,” Mr Eliseo said.

    To date the physical demand has not translated to a rise in the gold price due to the strengthening US dollar, he said.

  • UAE Beats India in gold consumption

    UAE Beats India in gold consumption

    The UAE ranks the first place worldwide in per capita consumption of gold, superior to the ancient countries such as India, in a new indicator on the strength of the State economy, according to Emirates today.

    “Gold Group” of the Chamber of Commerce and Industry of Abu Dhabi, the expectation that prices are gold in the state decline during the next six months, revealing that sales of gold jewelry in Abu Dhabi, exceeded six billion dirhams during the first eight months of this year, and it is expected sales to exceed nine billion dirhams at the end of the year.

    “the average per capita consumption in the Emirates of gold reached 30 grams per year, compared to just one gram per capita in India, for example,” noting that “this is a sign of the strength of the economy is growing, and high levels of living in the state. ” Said Abdul Wahid Al Marzouki the secretary “Gold Group”

  • Gold falls to its lowest level in two and a half with the rise of the stock and the dollar

    Gold falls to its lowest level in two and a half with the rise of the stock and the dollar

    Gold fell to its lowest level in two and a half months on Tuesday, down from a key support level at the low in August, with the rise of stock markets and the rise of the dollar to its highest level in a year against the euro ahead of a meeting of the European Central Bank this week.

    The metal support is derived from concerns about the confrontation between Russia and the West over Ukraine and Middle East unrest, but the strength of the dollar and stocks and weak demand in the market present in China and India rescinded impact.

    Gold fell in the spot market 1.4 percent to 1268.83 dollars an ounce at 1311 GMT, having fallen earlier to its lowest level since mid-June to $ 1265.10.

    The futures fell for gold in the United States for December delivery December to $ 17.60 to $ 1269.70 an ounce.

    And accelerated after the sale of gold fell below support at 1273.06 dollars an ounce struck on 21 August.

    And silver declined in the immediate contracts 1.3 percent to 19.2 dollars per ounce as platinum fell 0.6 percent to 1408.74 dollars an ounce.

    And palladium fell two percent to 885 dollars an ounce, after rising in the previous session to its highest level in 13 years and a half year due to concerns that affect the turmoil in Ukraine on supplies coming from Russia’s largest producer of the metal in the world

  • The weekly report of Gold, silver, copper from 1 to 5 September

    The weekly report of Gold, silver, copper from 1 to 5 September

    Gold prices dropped during trading on Friday, the highest price in one week after the release of the data US upbeat economic data, which reduced the safe-haven demand for the precious metal, while prices remain supported by tensions between Russia and Ukraine.

    Gold prices reached 1.297.60 dollars per ounce, its highest level since August 20 on Thursday after the Ukrainian president said that Russian forces entered the conflict in the east of Ukraine to support the pro-Russian separatists there.

    However, gold fell from its highest level during the day after data showed that gross domestic product grew at an American annual rate of 4.2% in the second quarter, up from an initial estimate of 4% and rebounding from the contraction of the first quarter.

    The reports showed on Friday that consumer sentiment in the United States rebounded to its highest price in seven years in August with a higher final reading of consumer confidence index for the University of Michigan to 82.5 from 81.8 in June

    Another report mentioned that manufacturing activity in the Chicago area continued to expand in August , pointing to underlying strength in this sector.

    Instead of issuing separate reports some data showing that consumer spending in the United States fell unexpectedly by 0.1% in July

    And the American dollar index, which tracks the performance of the greenback versus a basket of six other major currencies, to its highest level in a year by 82.78 late Friday, as data showed a strong rise in the growth rate. Miather usually high dollar makes gold where gold more expensive for buyers who use other currencies to the dollar up metal.

    The data fueled optimistic American also fears that the economic recovery is increasing, which could push the Fed to raise interest rates sooner than expected. Rising interest rates make gold less attractive investment than interest-bearing assets such as Treasury bonds.

    Elsewhere in metals trading, palladium prices rose to their highest levels in three and a half years on Friday amid fears that escalate sanctions larger in Russia’s largest producer of palladium in the world, and which may affect supplies.

    At the NYMEX delivery palladium rose in December to record highs by 910.40 dollars per ounce and was last rise has increased by 0.91%, to trade at 906.30 dollars per ounce.

    At the same time the Comex, silver fell delivery in December rose 0.61% to a record 19.49 dollars per ounce last Friday, silver rose 0.16% last week, while the loss ended the trading month increased by 4.32%.

    Copper delivery also rose in September by 0.39% to hit 3.163 Dolarlertalh at close of trade. Trajataat and futures in Comex copper rose 1.86% for the week, extending losses during the month, to 1.37%.

    In this week, will be shut down trading in the New York Mercantile Exchange on Monday due to the Labor Day holiday. As investors awaited the release of the report of the Institute for Supply Management, which issued on Tuesday, in addition to another report on manufacturing activity for the month of August nonfarm payrolls report to be issued on Friday in search of more of the indicators on the strength of the American economic recovery.

  • Gold retreats with the recovery of the European equity

    Gold retreats with the recovery of the European equity

    Gold slipped Friday, sapping earnings slightly this month with European stocks recovered from landing at the previous meeting and weak demand for the precious metal.

    Investors worried about the continued tensions between Russia and Ukraine after Kiev said Thursday that Russia had troops to its territory. But the impact of the escalation of the conflict was not enough for continued high gold prices.

    By 0951 GMT gold price hostel at 0.3 percent to $ 1286.10 an ounce, while the decline in u.s. futures contracts December 3.40 dollars to 1287 dollars per ounce.

    Prices of the yellow metal has risen 0.4 percent since the beginning of the week after I went down to the lowest level in two months, 1273.06 dollars an ounce last week.

    European stocks increased 0.2 percent to recover some of the losses incurred in the previous meeting, although they squandered the gains achieved in early dealings with the data of inflation in the euro zone, which reduced expectations almetaamiln taking the European Central Bank’s new measures of monetary loosening.

    Silver fell at 0.4 percent to 19.51 dollars an ounce.

    Platinum climbed 0.1 percent to 1421.49 dollars while Palladium down 0.3 percent to 890.60 dollars an ounce

  • Russia strengthen its reserves of gold for the fourth month

    Russia strengthen its reserves of gold for the fourth month

    International Monetary Fund Data showed that Russia boosted its holdings of gold for the fourth consecutive month in July as it added 10.6 tons to its reserves, while Moscow is facing Western sanctions affected its financial institutions.

    The data indicated issued, on Monday, that Russia’s holdings of gold amounted to 1105 tons at the end of July.

    The owner of Russia’s fifth-largest gold reserves in the world, after the United States, Germany, Italy and France.

    The United States imposed the American and European Union economic sanctions on Russia, since Moscow’s annexation of the Crimea, which was separated from Ukraine in March / March, to escalate the sanctions since then, to include the Russian banks and ban the export of goods, to respond similarly Moscow.

    The data Oofaqa Turkey trimmed its holdings of gold rose 4.3 tonnes to a record 508.67 tonnes, while Turkey is a gold bullion deposited by commercial banks as part of the holdings of the central bank.

    And trimmed Belarus reserves 5.45 tons in June and July, bringing its total holdings to 38.9 tons.

  • Gold rises as dollar rally stalled

    Gold rises as dollar rally stalled

    Gold rose on Tuesday after a stop that led to the rise of the dollar wave of purchases in the precious metal due to technical factors, but eased some gains with investors turning to buy stocks amid hopes that the European Central Bank to take more stimulus measures and following a strong American economic data.

    After surging 1 percent, to 1290.80 dollars per ounce in early trading with the activation of purchase orders automatically when you penetrate the moving average of the two hundred day above 1280 dollars decline in the price of gold for immediate sale to 1283.55 dollars in late trading on the American market, a high level of 0.6 percent from the previous close .

    And increased futures American Gold for December delivery in December $ 6.30, or the equivalent of 0.5 percent to a record settlement at 1285.20 dollars an ounce.

    The yellow metal prices rebounded from the lowest level in two months of 1273.06 dollars which was recorded last Thursday amid speculation the lifting of American interest rates.

    Among other precious metals, silver rose in online transactions 0.5 percent to 19.43 dollars an ounce, boosted by gains gold and recovering from its lowest level in two months of $ 19.25, which landed him on Thursday.

    And ascended platinum – which touched its lowest level since the fifth of May, when 1407.30 dollars last week – 0.4 percent, to 1413.25 dollars an ounce, while declining palladium 0.6 percent to 882.20 dollars an ounce after hitting earlier in the level of at least $ 0.75 only from the highest rate in 13 years and a half from the previous week and $ 900